US doubts on ratifying OECD Pillar 1 agreement for 2023 means unilateral DST’s to make a comeback?
The ambitious October 2021 OECD inclusive framework on base erosion and profit shifting (BEPS) agreement by 137 countries on global tax reforms is proving hard work to implement. The attention has been on a 15% global minimum corporate income tax, Pillar 2. But Pillar 1, reallocating rights to countries to tax digital revenues of non-resident companies selling in their countries, looks stuck too with arguments around its own ‘Amount B’ calculation.
The US is unlikely to ratify Pillar 1 soon as most of the companies in scope are American and many questions on tax calculations – Amounts A and B used to estimate taxable income – remain outstanding. The target implementation date of 2023 will certainly be missed. This means that unilateral Digital Services Tax regimes (see our DST country implementations tracker) already threatened or implemented will likely make a come-back as a December 2023 moratorium nears. The UK, France, Italy, Turkey, India (Equalisation Levy) and more have already enacted DST’s.
This would retrigger potential retaliatory measures from the US, and potentially China – also a major home to global digital companies. Meanwhile, almost 100 countries have now implemented VAT on foreign digital services.
Pillar 1 – taxing revenues on large, foreign digital services corporates
There has been little progress since October 2021 on the components of Pillar 1 because of the resistance in the US Congress. Pillar 1 is only intended to allow the taxation by foreign jurisdictions of around 100 global digital companies using the following criteria under Amount A:
- Global revenue of €20 billion, with at least €1 billion allocated to the tax jurisdictions looking to raise an assessment (€250m for smaller countries).
- Profit margin of at least 10%.
There is ongoing work on Amount A at the OECD, including a public consultation.
However, there is a second element, Amount B, to Pillar 1. This is centred around transfer pricing simplifications and baseline marketing and distribution calculations for foreign entities . This has largely been neglected since the October 2021 agreement. There is still debate about:
- what should be included in marketing and distribution
- Clarifying routine vs non-routine activities – what is the baseline
Digital Service Taxes comeback as December 2023 moratorium nears
DST’s are a new type of tax developed by countries frustrated by the lack of global tax reform. Many were put on hold at the time of the October 2021 settlement. Others, such as the UK, have come into force, but any revenues will be credited against the eventual Pillar 1 reforms. The signatories to the OECD had agreed to suspend new DST’s until December 2023. In return, the US has committed to not impose punitive trade actions.
Countries such as Canada, Nepal, Paraguay, Kenya and Nigeria have already imposed new DST’s since the October 2021 agreement.